Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 106.145734 122.451180 141.837745 167.000941 199.440600 240.810897 2.992499e+02
2024-10-27 82.822523 101.907923 127.061537 164.007991 219.569806 305.330831 4.612173e+02
2024-11-03 74.423847 95.783424 126.102216 175.091073 258.926983 413.666242 7.847410e+02
2024-11-10 71.843583 96.407547 133.836797 200.451447 331.824704 634.137465 1.737207e+03
2024-11-17 64.862675 89.109346 127.592178 200.188816 357.079026 780.290005 3.046238e+03
2024-11-24 59.079523 82.667259 121.332911 197.832716 376.684833 936.836667 5.695700e+03
2024-12-01 54.042538 76.698173 114.784625 193.070972 388.535642 1089.590057 1.156862e+04
2024-12-08 50.411405 72.558440 110.744179 192.372632 411.005427 1329.015253 3.964789e+04
2024-12-15 47.519528 69.307198 107.787670 193.242313 438.995152 1669.289933 1.436600e+06
2024-12-22 44.028683 64.685096 101.657345 185.548442 437.022820 1844.491224 NaN
2024-12-29 42.769959 63.797690 102.505679 194.488197 496.965362 2733.620714 NaN
2025-01-05 40.070630 60.117712 97.419875 187.677441 495.852952 3084.125292 NaN
2025-01-12 38.408750 58.413037 96.597275 193.106292 555.199722 4948.700678 NaN
2025-01-19 36.077990 55.323945 92.640270 189.568243 576.424099 6861.953786 NaN
2025-01-26 35.354792 55.117841 94.666356 203.365052 700.086593 20247.407556 NaN
2025-02-02 35.760731 57.074270 101.716395 235.316298 1000.927022 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 34.123902 54.879599 99.012689 234.982829 1082.992397 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.507533 52.589915 95.794327 231.993659 1142.961330 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.887060 50.171275 91.994568 225.965600 1168.411923 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.662820 48.467477 89.734061 225.083033 1253.839758 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.632329 47.083548 88.097848 226.182201 1374.413547 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 27.201167 44.782396 83.955012 216.478707 1337.548232 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.775311 44.538105 84.951201 227.757871 1649.220507 NaN NaN